Why Iran 'meddles' in Iraq
Is Tehran's supposed involvement malign, or
are its interests in the war legitimate?
By Adam Shatz
ADAM SHATZ is literary editor of the Nation.
February 18, 2007
THIS TIME AROUND, when the Bush administration presented "intelligence"
from unidentified sources about a dangerous foe in the Middle East, the
American media was noticeably more skeptical. Eager to redeem
themselves for the generally obsequious reporting about Saddam
Hussein's alleged weapons of mass destruction and ties to Al Qaeda,
journalists don't want to get fooled again as the administration lays
the groundwork for a possible war against Iran.
But
even though journalists have quite rightly raised questions about the
credibility of the intelligence and the motives behind its release,
they have failed to take the next step and examine the fundamental
underlying premise behind the administration's accusations: that Iran's
role in Iraq is inappropriate.
Take, for instance, the New York
Times' Feb. 13 editorial, "Iran and the Nameless Briefers." While
demanding that President Bush "make his intentions toward Iran clear,"
warning against "another disastrous war" and questioning the
administration's assertion (since retracted) that "the highest levels
of the Iranian government" authorized the sale of armor-piercing
explosives to militants in Iraq, the paper added, as if it were
self-evident: "We have no doubt of Iran's malign intentions. Iran is
defying the Security Council's order to halt its nuclear activities,
and it is certainly meddling inside Iraq."
Let's be clear:
Iran's president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, with his disgraceful Holocaust
denial conference and incendiary strutting, cuts an unsavory profile,
to say the least. And since the collapse of the Iranian reform
movement, hard-liners have shrewdly exploited Bush's threats, jailing
intellectuals with contacts in the West.
Still, is it fair to
characterize Iran's involvement in Iraq as "malign," or, for that
matter, as "meddling" (in contrast, say, to the presence of 130,000
American troops in Iraq)? Might Iran have legitimate interests in what
is, after all, its own geographic neighborhood?
Could it be that
Iran's stake in Iraq is solidly grounded in the same realist principles
that drive the behavior of most nations, rather than in "malign
intentions" or a desire to export the Islamic revolution?
If
Iran wants to see a friendly government established in Iraq, it hardly
lacks for reasons. Unlike the United States, Iran was attacked by Iraq,
back when Hussein's regime enjoyed American support as a bulwark
against Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's revolution. Hundreds of thousands
of Iranians died during the Iran-Iraq war (1980-88). When Iraq used
poison gas against Iranian troops, the United States uttered not a
single protest.
Not surprisingly, Iran wants to ensure that no
government in Iraq will threaten it again. That's why Iran made no
secret of its joy over Hussein's downfall, but it also refuses to
accept a potentially hostile American base in the Persian Gulf or to
cede absolute control over Iraq's future to the United States.
Iran
also sees itself as a protector of Shiite interests in the region — and
is, with a mixture of gratitude and wariness, viewed as such by Shiites
from the gulf to Lebanon to Pakistan. Iraq's Shiite majority, though
Arab and nationalist, is linked to Iran's Shiites through both family
and religious ties. It was in Tehran that many of the Iraqi Shiite
parties in power today found sanctuary from Hussein's agents; many
Iraqi clerics studied in Iran, and some — most notably Grand Ayatollah
Ali Sistani — were born in Iran. Every Iraqi Shiite politician must pay
his respects to Tehran, including secularists such as Washington's
former darling, Ahmad Chalabi.
The future Iraqi government,
frankly, is likely to bear a stronger resemblance to the Islamic
republic than to the liberal democracy the Bush administration publicly
championed — or to the "Saddamism without Saddam" scenario that many
advocates of the invasion privately preferred. That Iran has acted to
bolster the power of its Shiite allies in Iraq — and to arm Shiite
militias avenging Sunni attacks on their people and their shrines — may
not be to Washington's liking, but "meddling" doesn't seem the right
word for it.
In thinking about Iran's behavior, it's important
to remember that the United States has made plain its determination to
curb Iranian influence in the region — by force of arms, if necessary.
From Iran's perspective, the U.S. is an implacable enemy that has
rebuffed its diplomatic overtures. No state likes to see a hostile army
stationed in its backyard.
If Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei, has indulged Ahmadinejad's rhetorical extremism, it may
be because he expected to be rewarded, rather than punished, for Iran's
assistance to the United States in Afghanistan and Iraq.
As
Gareth Porter recently reported in the American Prospect, Iran floated
a proposal in May 2003, shortly after the fall of Baghdad, for a "grand
bargain" with the United States. It offered to back the 2002 Arab
Summit's proposal for a two-state solution in Israel-Palestine and to
end its military support for armed Palestinian groups as well as
Hezbollah in return for the restoration of diplomatic relations with
the United States.
Prematurely intoxicated by its "mission
accomplished," the Bush administration reportedly ignored Iran's
proposal and has since given every indication that it prefers regime
change in Tehran to the kind of dialogue recommended by the Iraq Study
Group. To this end, the administration has flirted with the Iranian
Mujahedin Khalq, also known as MEK, a bizarre Maoist guerrilla
group/cult that opposes the Islamic government and frequently launched
attacks on Iran from Iraq with Hussein's backing.
Given the
Bush administration's belligerent position, the Iranian government
might have concluded that, with Hussein dead and the Shiite parties in
power, Tehran's interests are best served by the withdrawal of American
troops on its border. Even if the Iraqis fail to drive out U.S. forces,
a deepening quagmire usefully distracts attention from Tehran's nuclear
program and reminds the United States that it needs Iran in order to
exit with its honor intact.
Like any state, the Islamic
republic seeks above all to preserve itself. But, again, is this
"malign intent" or a sober calculation?
Iran has, in other
words, a strong realist case for being involved in Iraq. If Iranian
"designs" on Iraq are seen as malign, it is only by those who believe
that U.S. "intentions" in Iraq (unlike other imperial powers, we have
no designs) are benign.
In this fairy-tale version of history,
American rationales for occupying Iraq may change as often as necessary
(from the destruction of Hussein's nonexistent "stockpile of weapons of
mass destruction" to the promotion of democracy to the prevention of a
civil war detonated by our invasion), but they remain virtuous in
intent, while those who resist our plans are always portrayed as
sinister.
The liberal mainstream has come to view the Iraq war
as the greatest foreign policy disaster since Vietnam, but its faith in
American virtue — its belief in American exceptionalism — remains as
unshaken as the Bush administration's.
In the narrow parameters
of American politics, you can ask whether Bush is telling the truth
about Iraniandesigned bombs, but you may not ask whether the United
States would accept the presence of 130,000 Iranian troops on our
border. Nor may you ask who exactly is "meddling" in Mesopotamia.
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Copyright 2007 Los Angeles Times